The Strategic Benefits of Prudence
Nowadays, the world considers morality as anachronistic and certainly it is ruthlessly abused in global politics, as political actors twist the meaning of moral principles to make themselves appealing to the masses. Prudence is a rather prominent victim in this case, as leaders and their supporters either pretend to use it or completely ignore it, leading to the aggravation of global insecurity and the conctant appearance of new humanitarian catastrophies. This post is about the strategic gains that a prudent actor can have.
But first, let us define prudence. Oxford Advanced Learner’s Dictionary defines prudence as: “a sensible and careful attitude when you make judgements and decisions; behaviour that avoids unnecessary risks”. So, in the language of international relations, prudence is relavant to careful, sober and unbiased decision-making which takes into account as many factors as possible and aims at protecting the decision-maker and the citizens from choices that could bring catastrophic results. A prudent decision-maker doesn’t overlook factors that seem to them unpleasant, because such a leader is aware of his/her ability to resolve difficult situations. Prudence, which requires patience and sobriety does not match with opportunism, which requires speed and polarization; therefore, a prudent leader is someone who relies on long-term planning and the implementation of stability.
From the above, one could say that prudence does not fit in today’s ultra-fast-paced world. Yet, in the turbulent arena of contemporary international relations, prudence stands out as a guiding principle that can yield multiple strategic benefits.
First of all, prudence can act as a buffer against the pressures of domestic politics. Leaders who exercise prudence are less likely to engage in aggressive posturing or hasty decisions that cater to transient popular sentiments but harm long-term national interests. This virtue promotes a balanced approach, taking into account the complexities of international issues and the potential for unintended consequences.
Secondly, at times of high stress, such as crises, prudence can improve the course and results of deliberations. It involves instant pattern recognition, careful consideration of timeliness, and the ability to advance a strategic plan through artful improvisation. The Cuban Missile Crisis is a historical example where prudent judgment played a crucial role in averting a catastrophic confrontation, which would result in a nuclear war between the U.S.A. and the U.S.S.R.
Another advantage is the cultivation of trust and credibility. States that consistently demonstrate prudence in their foreign dealings are more likely to be viewed as reliable partners. This reputation can lead to stronger alliances and partnerships, which are invaluable assets in the global landscape. As a result of this, prudence can foster international respect. When a nation thoughtfully weighs its actions and their implications for the international community, it sets a standard for responsible behavior. This respect can translate into soft power, enhancing a country’s ability to influence others through attraction rather than coercion.
Furthermore, prudence helps an actor to save precious resources in the long-term. By keeping your state out of conflicts that do not directly affect their national interests, leaders can save their country manpower, financial resources and firepower.
Ultimately, prudence can lead to better decision-making. It encourages a comprehensive analysis of the situation, consultation with experts, and consideration of various perspectives. This thorough process results in more informed and effective policies that serve a nation’s interests in the long term.
In conclusion, prudence is not about inaction or passivity; it is about making calculated, informed decisions that consider the broader implications for peace and security. In a world where the dynamics of power and diplomacy are constantly shifting, prudence remains a timeless and strategic asset in the realm of foreign policy.
Suggested reading:
- Kumar, Manali, “Making Decisions under Uncertainty: The Prudent Judgement Approach”, European Journal of National Security, Vol. 8 (2023), pp. 109-129. Available here